Don't Start RBs in Same Game

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	Topic: Don't Start RBs in Same Game
Ram Mas_5910 Membership: Starter Joined: September 05 Total Posts: 754 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/07/13 15:42 Why? Because very rarely do opposing RBs in the same game have decent games. I went back through every game in 2012 to back this up. In 2012, there were 195 games in which at least one RB scored over 15 points (PPR format). In only 48 (24.6%) of those games did a RB from the other team score over 15 as well. If you want to look at it a little deeper, out of 256 NFL games in 2012, a RB from each team eclipsed 15 points only 18.7% of the time. I used 15 because that total was met by about 11-12 RB's per week on average, so about 1 for every owner in a 12-team league. Now, I'm not saying that if you have McCoy and Morris on your roster that you should not start both of them when the 3rd RB on your roster is Mendenhall. The data above only suggests that there is about a 75% chance that only one of your starting RB's is going to have a decent game. ---- Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
James_119913 Membership: Bench Warmer Joined: August 10 Total Posts: 2480 Offline	Post Date: 09/07/13 18:30 Great analysis.....I feel the same way at times and generally find one of my studs is facing one heck of a defense. Very seldom do both of my RB's facing one another have cream puff defenses to play against.
Glenn_40074 Membership: Starter Joined: August 07 Total Posts: 1832 Favorite Team: Online	Post Date: 09/07/13 21:54 Mas, are you looking at my team? I have McCoy and Morris starting, and I really hope your 2012 numbers don't hold up! ---- Mayan Calendar's final FFS Challenge Winner?
Throwball Heroes_118522 Moderator Membership: Starter Joined: June 10 Total Posts: 14828 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/08/13 05:22 Even with stats to back data up like that common sense should prevail in some cases, at least I hope it would. Regardless of opponent there will be RBs you play in EVERY case. In your example and on Glenn's team I would always start both those RBs, especially since they were drafted high. ---- Stephen http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/ "Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!" "ISIYBITSI" -Russ Bliss
Michael_8256 Moderator Membership: Starter Joined: July 06 Total Posts: 8526 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/08/13 07:25 TBH said it...I believe that settles it!... The point here this is fantasy football and there are NO absoultes! ---- "RSIIBITSI" SCORING: .1 pt per 2-yard pass, 6-pts. per TD, -2 per INT .1 pt per yard rush/rec, 6-pts. per TD, (NO-PPR) (QB/RB/WR) .1 pts per yard rec. , 1-PPR 6-pts. per TD (TE'S ONLY !!!) START: 1-QB, 1-RB, 1-WR, 1-TE, 1-FLEX (RB/TE) 1-FLEX (RB/WR) 1-PK, 1-DST
Throwball Heroes_118522 Moderator Membership: Starter Joined: June 10 Total Posts: 14828 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/08/13 07:55 But with that said I love playing with numbers and looking at the trends to possibly gain an upper hand on my opponent. Not that it's always a sure thing. Case in point, I ran the numbers and projections for each team in the league I run. I come up in last place with the worst performing team. I think I am a few places better than that but that is why we play the game. ---- Stephen http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/ "Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!" "ISIYBITSI" -Russ Bliss
Ram Mas_5910 Membership: Starter Joined: September 05 Total Posts: 754 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/12/13 13:04 UPDATE: I gave this same advice to the other 11 owners in my league. 3 of them disregarded my warning and decided to start RB's who were facing each other. The result: Their three lower-scoring RB's tallied 4.5, 2.6 and -2.1 pts. Kaboom! ---- Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
Cody_100138 Membership: Retired Joined: August 09 Total Posts: 3978 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/12/13 16:30 This is a pretty classic case of correlation not necessarily implying causality. One RB has little to do with the opposing RB's performance. It seems more coincidence than anything. Or, more likely, it's just related to how many RBs actually meet the 15pt benchmark you set. I'd guess less than half of the top 32 RBs actually hit that number, so 16ish? Even less on bye weeks. So, the chances that two of those that happen to break the barrier being in the same game are naturally low. Similarly picking two RBs completely at random would be unlikely to both score well. ---- - Fantasy Football Ninja
Ram Mas_5910 Membership: Starter Joined: September 05 Total Posts: 754 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/13/13 12:29 Good point, Cody. But throw in the fact that rarely do both teams dominate rushing the ball in the same game and you get a recipe for mediocrity. In such cases, I'd either probably lean to the home RB or the RB playing the weaker defense and in a perfect world, the home-team RB would be playing the weaker run D : ) ---- Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
Robert_102715 Membership: Starter Joined: September 09 Total Posts: 132 Favorite Team: Offline	Post Date: 09/14/13 16:05 So if you say had Richardson and Rice on your FF team, you'd bench one this weekend? They are playing in the same game... If that is what you are trying to throw down, I'm sorry but I just can't agree with your advice. GL!
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