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Topic: OK, let me have it
Ram Mas_5910
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Joined: September 05
Total Posts: 763
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Post Date: 09/01/13 00:49
Tell me how bad my RB's are because I waited until Round 4 to get my first and how I won't compete (had pick 10/12 in Total Points league, PPR, 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, Flex, Def):



PLAYERS (rd drafted)

QB: Rodgers (1), Bradford (10)

RB: C. Johnson (4), Bradshaw (7), P. Thomas (11), Woodhead (13), Franklin (14), Reece (16)

WR: Green (2), Garcon (6), Jennings (8), Blackmon (9), Sanu (17)

TE: Witten (3), Gonzalez (5)

DT: Steelers (12), Falcons (15)



Funny thing about points leagues and how things on paper can be deceiving. Even though the only other owner to submit his Week One lineup has a starting lineup that looks like it might be substantially better than mine......



Rodgers / Brady

C. Johnson / Wilson

Bradshaw / Murray

Green / Megatron

Garcon / Colston

Jennings / M. Austin

Witten / Olsen

Steelers / Bengals

Gonzalez / T. Austin



..... based on the consensus total points projections I used, my starting lineup is projected to outscore his at the end of the season by 12 pts. Having said that, I did overstock my RB's over WR's because I was looking to increase my chance of landing a sleeper at the position to outperform my #2. Or, if Bradford has the breakout year I'm hoping (praying?) for, then there's my trade bait.
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 James_4852
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Post Date: 09/01/13 10:29
Yes, your RB's are a little weak. You need Mathews to get injured so Woodhead will play more, and Bradshaw needs to stay healthy for you to compete. If Ingram gets injured then Thomas becomes the clear #1 back. Reece will only play alot if McFadden gets injured, and he will split with Jennings.

Too many ifs for me though. If you need help right away then grab Tolbert who is flying under the radar. He is a TD vulture and Stewart will be out for awhile. He will split time with D Williams and is a PPR option now that he will play more.

Tolbert scored 6 or 7 TD's last year and he went undrafted in many leagues. I had him in a standard leage as a RB #6


James
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 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 09/01/13 12:18
Don't worry Mathews will get injured. Don't forget that Ronnie Brown is still in the RB mix for the Bolts and would probably be the direct replacement, not Woodhead. With that said, your RBs are hurting. Can't rely on CJ to be the RB1 with Bradshaw, foot and all on a new team to pick up much slack. Thomas is in the RBBC and the last 3 RBs are backups. So year it could be a very long year.



WRs aren't that strong either, I do like Green but think it drops off after him. Not sure I would have drafted Witten in rnd 3, opting for another WR or even a RB.
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Ram Mas_5910
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Joined: September 05
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Post Date: 09/01/13 16:33
"You need Mathews to get injured so Woodhead will play more, and Bradshaw needs to stay healthy for you to compete. If Ingram gets injured then Thomas becomes the clear #1 back. Reece will only play alot if McFadden gets injured, and he will split with Jennings." And all of them have injury history hahaha.



I targeted Garcon as a potential Top 12 WR this year so I'm looking at him being 1B for me. Peter King (FWIW) posted on Aug 25 that Thomas is "terminally underrated" so I took a late-round flier on him since I expect Ingram to get hurt. And I disagree with your assessment of TE's. When you have to start one, getting a Top 3 player at the position gives you a huge advantage over most of the competetion in Non Head-to-Head leagues.
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 James_4852
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Post Date: 09/01/13 19:26
Mas,

The Raiders have the most putrid line in the league. No one will be able to run behind that mess.



In every draft where a TE or QB is taken in the first three rounds the RB position is always weakened.

This is the weakest RB class I have ever seen in all of the years I have been playing fantasy football.



I think you made a terrible mistake taking Witten that early and taking Rodgers as your # 1 pick.

You might have gotten away with the Rodgers pick if you had not taken Witten. Gonzalez in the fifth when you start one TE and need a RB?

One injury on your RB squad destroys your chances of competing.



I am afraid that you will be hugging the waiver wire every week when Bradshaw has his yearly foot injury.

But I hope it works out for you and I'm wrong.




james
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Full time Ghostbuster!
Andrew_177948
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Post Date: 09/01/13 19:39
Yeah, I have to admit I don't like this strategy at all. Only one league I made the mistake of taking rodgers at 19th pick. I felt he was value there. But otherwise I think that you seriously could wait until later. No kidding, just drafted and RGIII, Romo and Vick were on the board by the 10th round.

Witten went in the 6th. You either get Graham in the 3rd or you leave alone for a long time.

I don't think you are going to be a competitor with this team unless the gods are with you.
Ram Mas_5910
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Post Date: 09/02/13 09:05
This is a points league. I spent HOURS upon HOURS projecting taking what positions where in my first 7 picks (QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE) would gross me the total amount of points and the QB/WR/TE combo was it. Even after throwing my flex into the mix (Gonzo at 5), I still exceeded by target projection by 14 points for those Top 7 starters. Yes, my RB's look bad. But in a points league, it really doesn't matter too much. Case in points....last season I took Fred Jackson as my first RB in the 4th round. I finished the first half of the season with a 200 point lead. If my league didn't have a redraft after week 8 where we keep up to 5 players and draft over again, I obliterate the competition. Instead, I made the mistake of taking Mike Williams and the fantasy cancer, Denarius Moore, as my WR2 and WR3 and they shipwrecked my team : )
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