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Topic: Defense Analyzer
Ram Mas_5910
Membership: Retired
Joined: September 05
Total Posts: 763
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Post Date: 08/11/13 12:25
Hello....I'm a bit confused here and I'm not sure where the problem is. Last season, the Top 12 defensive teams in my Junkies league averaged 157.8 points in 2012. When I run the analyzer based on our 2012 scoring rules, the Top 12 defenses average 99 points. We made scoring changes that will reduce defensive scoring 5% based on the analyzer's data. I'm just really puzzled how there can be such a large discrepancy between what is predicted and what the actually scoring is. For example, based on 2012 rules, Seattle's defense currently ranks third overall with a projected 111.3 points. In 2012, Seattle ranked 2nd with 208 points scored, almost double for a team who is projected to finish in nearly the exact same ranking. Thanks ahead of time for any assistance.
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Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
Ram Mas_5910
Membership: Retired
Joined: September 05
Total Posts: 763
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Post Date: 08/11/13 12:33
I think I see where the discrepancy lies. The anaylzer rarely (if ever) predicts DEF/ST touchdowns and the Seahawks had 13 last year. Any chance of incorporating how many DEF/ST touchdowns you project teams to score and including those points in the draft Analyzer? I think it makes a big difference in their overall draft value.
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Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
Ram Mas_5910
Membership: Retired
Joined: September 05
Total Posts: 763
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Post Date: 08/11/13 12:37
Well strike that idea. I was looking at the wrong column and Seattle only had 3 def TD's. Not 13.
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Bleeding Blue and Gold Since 1975
 Russ Bliss_108
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Joined: September 04
Total Posts: 19878
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Post Date: 08/17/13 09:58
Good to have you back Mas!

Defensive TD's are incorporated into the Defenses and Special Teams points projections so I'm not sure what the deal would be.
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
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